Red, theory; black, fact
There
are probably two basic biological uses for human anger: dispersal, and providing an
emergency brake on population increase that avoids Malthusian disasters by
triggering wars. The second kind of war ends life without being notably efficient in
producing mass migration.
The Past
I have long wondered why
the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse seem to include two gentlemen in
charge of warlike matters. Why the apparent duplication? The above may give the reason: one (with the bow) represents wars of depopulation
and the other (with the sword) represents wars of displacement.
The Coventry Blitz produced so much mass migration
into the countryside surrounding that city that it was an embarrassment for the
British government, calling into question Britain’s willingness to fight. Was Coventry some kind of watershed, before which the conflict
was of the displacement type, and afterward, of the depopulation type?
The facts bear this out, considering Nazi treatment of the
Jews as a litmus test of the zeitgeist of that time. After coming to power in
1933, the Nazis aimed at forcing the Jews to emigrate, and by the outbreak of
hostilities in September, 1939, 250,000 of Germany’s 437,000 Jews had done so. The Coventry
Blitz was in November, 1940. The Holocaust began, in terms of men, women, and
children all being targeted for execution, in August, 1941, nine months later. The German zeitgeist seems to
have shifted gears in the fall of 1940, aiming at depopulation rather than displacement. I am obviously assuming that the evolutionary, selectionist justification of the Holocaust given at the time, in forums such as the 1942 Wannsee conference, was a rationalization.
A Sociological Theory
Wars brought on by
population pressure may begin as the displacement type, and if this does not result
in sufficient local reduction in population pressure after a certain time, the
hostilities shift gears to the depopulation type of conflict.
If human
population is under PID [proportional-integral-derivative] control by the
subconscious, the event causing the shift could be the amount of signal
accumulated on the integrator rising above some threshold. This may actually be a second
threshold, with the first and lower threshold controlling the outbreak of a war
of displacement.
A paradoxical outcome of Calhoun's overpopulation experiments on rodents can be explained in terms of such an integrator.
Calhoun’s Classical Experiment
By providing unlimited food and water to a founder population of rats or mice, with regular bedding changes and exclusion of predators and parasites, the rodents were allowed to increase their population to fabulous numbers. However, the rodents were given no extra space. As the population soared to incredible densities, all kinds of pathological behaviors appeared along with a great deal of violence. Birth rates plummeted after a "behavioral sink" developed, and remained low, never recovering, as the population decreased all the way to zero.
An Engineering-inspired Theory
My interpretation of the behavioral sink is that it is integrator windup, a pathology of humanly engineered PID controllers, and possibly natural ones too. The signal accumulated on the integrator has been building for so long, and the population crash is so sudden, that not enough time is spent at population densities below set point to cancel the "control debt" on the integrator, so it continues to insanely command a zero birth rate even as the population is heading for zero.
Philosophers May Have Noticed This
George Santayana wrote that "Fanaticism consists of redoubling your efforts when you have forgotten your aim." [source, Wiki quotes, accessed 06-11-2018] Which sounds like integrator windup to me.
The Future
A third and highest threshold of the control debt may exist, which, if crossed, leads to the human behavioral sink and the possible destruction of the human race due to essentially psychological causes. In the behavioral sink, I postulate that everyone would be a ZPG (Zero Population Growth) fanatic and unable to change without pharmacological help. (Good old booze? It may not be that simple.)





