#78. My Thinking on Evolutionary Psychology: Summary to Date

EP

Red, theory; black, fact

Darwin's first diagram of evolution

The behavioral innovations occurring in the evolutionary sequence leading to ourselves may have been, in chronological order:

• H. habilis:  tool manufacturing and gender roles.
• H. erectus: systemic refugee production, dispersal, ethnicity, and language.
• Early H. sapiens: warfare, shelter building, and tricksterism.
• Late H. sapiens: siege resistance and religion.

General hypotheses: 1) The earlier the innovation, the less modifiable it will be; 2) The dominant neuromodulators that organize the innovations emerging post-H. habilis will be noradrenalin (primordial organizer of responses to intraspecific competition) and serotonin (primordial organizer of responses to predation). 3)  Siege resistance is the adaptive form of the corresponding failure mode siege mentality.

Picture credit: Wiki Commons

#75. The Broad Context of Religion [evolutionary psychology]

EP

Red, theory; black, fact

[Quotes indicate metaphor.]

• Organized religion may have arisen as a counter-adaptation to the anti-invasion adaptations  of a neighbouring, powerful country that included sorties.  For the Abrahamic religions, that powerful but geographically vulnerable country would be ancient Egypt. For the Eastern religions, the powerful but vulnerable neighbor would be ancient China.

• People are "amphibians": each of us has a collectivist part existing in genetic superposition with an individualistic part. In systems that officially celebrate the former, the latter cannot be owned and must be pushed into the Jungian Shadow. And vice versa. In Freudian terms, the unacceptable wishes emerge in disguised form: religion in individual-celebrating systems, and hero worship in collective-celebrating systems.

• The longstanding debate in philosophy between rationalism and empiricism is a false dichotomy resulting from a narrow focus on one or the other of the two legs by which scientific knowledge advances: theory and experiment.

• If religion is the last protoscience, then the corresponding science that is to come could be called security science. 

• The incredible disunity of Protestantism could mean that Protestantism is the laboratory of Christianity.

• The crucial step in going from a protoscience to a science appears not to have been experimentation, but quantification. Examples of early quantifiers were Tycho Brae (astronomy) and Antoine Lavoisier (chemistry). If religion is a protoscience, what would its quantification look like? “Reminder: It’s time to bring up your prayer checklist, tick the boxes that apply under each heading (Adoration, Confession, Thanksgiving, and Supplication), and upload it to the diocesan office. The results of statistical analysis will be announced at Vestry, at which time parishioners may suggest further research questions. This activity parallels and does not replace traditional prayer. All submissions are protected by best-practice data security.”

• The first step in graduating to security science may be compiling a glossary of religious terms and their non-supernatural, parallel interpretations. For example, the Jewish ban on eating pork can be interpreted in this spirit as a measure to prevent trichinosis (a disease transmitted by eating under-cooked pork or wild game). As another example, the four prayer headings enumerated above could be identified in terms of a longitudinal study as control, exposure, favourable outcomes at followup, and adverse outcomes at followup. As a third example, the three persons of the Trinity could map onto the three sources of security science: study of the individual, the society, and the evolutionary history of both (Son, Holy spirit, and Father, respectively).

• Science has to be for everyone.

• We don't have free will in the big things; we have free will in the little things. However, one of the little things can be "planting a seed" that may one day grow into one of those big things and be more to our liking than the big things we see now.

• Should security science take on the task of predicting the unintended consequences of innovations, or is that task so large as to require another new science?

• On the answers to the big questions, the sources of authority are the size of the database and the degree of regulation of the original inquiry. Writing things down would be one rule of inquiry; using a set process would be another; making well defined measurements would be another; the experiment form would be yet another. The degree-of-regulation parameter takes us smoothly from protoscience to hard science via the qualitative study, which has legitimacy today.

#69. Role of Personalities in the Human Swarm Intelligence [population]

PO

Red, theory; black, fact

Each of the Big Five personality traits may be a dimension along which people differ in some socially important behavioral threshold. These are, respectively: openness > uptake of innovations; conscientiousness > uptake of taboos; extraversion >  committing to collectivism*; agreeableness (-) > becoming militant; neuroticism > engaging in/submitting to persecution. The personality trait is written on the left of the ">" and the putatively impacted social threshold is on the right.

These threshold spectra may enable social shifts that are noise-resistant, sensitive to triggers, and rapid. Noise resistance and sensitivity together are called good “receiver operating characteristics,” a concept often used in the scientific literature.

A metaphor that suggests itself is lighting a camp fire. The spark is first applied to the tinder. Ignition of the tinder ignites the kindling. Ignition of the kindling ignites the small sticks. Ignition of the small sticks ignites the big sticks, and everything is consumed.

Orderly fire-starting appears to require a spectrum of thresholds for ignition in the fuel, as may orderly social shifts. To further extend the metaphor, note that the fuel must be dry (i.e., situational factors must be permissive).

Social novelties may spread upward to higher-threshold social strata by meme propagation reinforced by emotional contagion. The emotional energy necessary for emotional contagion would come from the individual’s interaction with the novelty, which would feature a positive feedback.

The governing neuromodulators of personality may be as follows:

• Acetylcholine-Openness
• Noradrenalin-Neuroticism 
• Serotonin-Agreeableness 
• Histamine-Conscienciousness
• Dopamine-Extraversion 

Our capacities for all of the enumerated social shifts were selected in evolution and most can be assumed to be still adaptive when correctly triggered. In today’s world, shifts to persecution are probably the least likely to still be adaptive, and could be a holdover from our Homo erectus stage. Persecution leads to refugee production, and refugee production could have been the reason that guy was such a great disperser.

As the geologists say, “The present is the key to the past.”

* A possible anti-invasion adaptation and predictable from geography. The sociological term for the corresponding failure mode may be siege mentality.

#55. Gender is Pecking Order [evolutionary psychology]

EP

Red, theory; black, fact

Gender is pecking order

Gender, social status, and testosterone are clearly interrelated, but exactly how requires clarification when the very nature of gender is in question, as now. One possibility is that the male pecking order sits directly atop the female pecking order, and there is no barrier between. Thus, a male who falls low enough in the male pecking order will undergo a reversal in gender identification from male to female (and maybe keep on going down) and a female who rises high enough in the female pecking order will likewise undergo a reversal in gender identification from female to male (and maybe keep on going up). The entire structure could be called "the" pecking order, with the statistical median of the status ranks, and possibly the ranked testosterone levels, always dividing females from males, at least in terms of gendered social signaling. This could be an example of what is called an exact theory replacing its approximate counterpart. In this case, the corresponding approximate theory would be the gender binary. ("You are either a man or a woman.") 

A limitation of this “median theory” is that no causative mechanism is provided.

Recent history of trans

Since the early Sixties, we have seen a trend of increasing media exposure of trans and non-binary individuals, and this was also a period of ever-increasing human population numbers. I conjecture that the latter trend caused the former. The population trend may have produced an upward trend in the average population density at which people are living, suburban expansion notwithstanding. This may have caused an increasing incidence of aggressive one-on-one interactions among humans due to the Calhoun effect, which is much discussed in these pages. See post #36. Aggressive, one-on-one interactions are well known to change the social status of the combatants, the winner enjoying increased status (i.e., a higher ranking in the pecking order) and the loser suffering reduced status. Overall, population density increases can thus be expected to increase the amount of traffic on the social ladder, both upward and downward, leading to increasing numbers of individuals crossing the median and becoming trans or nonbinary. The increasing numbers of trans and nonbinary individuals in society was then faithfully reflected in the content of the news stories of the day. QED.

Trans not genetically determined

Consistent with this, PLOS blogger R. Lewis, who has a PhD in genetics, found remarkably little evidence of a direct genetic causation in transgenderism. Moreover, out of 58 studies on "transgender" listed on clinicaltrials.gov, nothing worth mentioning was found about genetics. This could be an instance of the filing-drawer effect (negative results not published but left to languish in the filing cabinet).

How pecking-order dynamics may lead to dispersal and a mechanism 

I am indebted to Jordan Peterson for turning me on to the pecking-order idea. It can explain aspects of dispersalism, as follows: If people have no emotional memory of their social wins and losses, we would expect their distribution on the social ladder to be Gaussian (aka, a bell curve). However, if a win or loss leaves you with an emotional residue of optimism or pessimism (and, of course, it does), a positive feedback can set in if conflicts are coming faster than the emotional fallout from each can dissipate, so that the more you lose, the greater your pessimism, and the more likely you are to lose in the future. Moreover, the more you win, the greater your optimism, and the more likely you are to win in the future. (Following Peterson, this emotional fallout effect may be due to prolonged up- and down-regulations of serotonin concentrations in the brain.) This dynamic then splits the population into a bi-modal social distribution, resulting in dispersal when most of the underdogs become refugees. Those who remain conceal their potential to reproduce (and thus compete) in gay-trans relationships. The frequency of conflicts could be measuring population density, and the conflicts would not necessarily be over resources, but over proxies for these such as land or jobs. With the addition of these ideas, the splitting and separation of overcrowded rodent populations in the behavioral-sink phase of a Calhoun experiment is explained. To connect these ideas with my earlier idea of the sadness cycle, I conjecture that sadness and its attendant social signaling expresses anger colored by pessimism about winning, whereas contempt and its social signaling expresses anger colored by optimism about winning.

 

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#21. The Cogs of Armageddon [evolutionary psychology]

EP

Red, theory; black, fact

The Mechanism of Human Dispersal 

How does everyday human behaviour eventually accomplish the biological function of dispersal for the human race? 

Background 

Dispersal is things like dandelions shedding airborne seeds, slime molds developing into spore cases on stalks and releasing the spores into the wind, territorial systems of birds and mammals forcing the unlanded young to seek widely for their own territories, and humans going into space because our science fiction writers keep scaring us about the possibility of meteor crashes wiping out life on Earth. 

The slime mold Dictyostelium is triggered into its dispersal program by the food supply running short; I will adopt the assumption that the human dispersal program is also triggered by the end of the good times, that is, the price of bread rising relative to wages.

The Psychology of Dispersal

Human neural pathways may potentiate aggression when the hard times come, but of an elaborate kind featuring many evolved adaptations that ensure efficient dispersal (i.e., with minimal loss of life). 

Our evolved dispersal program begins with a two-person feud of the sort illustrated in cultural references too numerous to mention. An arbitrary stimulus, made offensive by some piece of Pavlovian conditioning, is traded back and forth with rapidly increasing energy. 

Features of Human Dispersal Explained by Evolution 

1) The emotional component is strongly threatening because the participants must be induced to seek allies, which people do when  threatened, until all of society is eventually polarized. The acts of provocation being traded back and forth become progressively more outrageous, as they must, to keep the polarization process going. Eventually, one side gets the upper hand and forces the other to flee.

2) The result is a diaspora, i.e., dispersal. Because of the long polarization process, an entire group is expelled, not single individuals one at a time. Thus, members of such a group can assist each other to survive and relocate, thereby reducing the mortality associated with dispersal, thereby making the dispersal event more efficient in terms of number of people relocated.

3) The group who flees is then seen by the international community as the blameless victim, and the group who stays is seen as the unprincipled aggressor. This tends to elicit a sheltering of the refugees and an intimidation of the "aggressor," who is deterred from pressing his advantage, that is, pursuing the refugees and slaughtering them to the last man, which is what each side would like to do to the other by this point. This, again, is an efficiency from the point of view of producing dispersal.

4) However, if each side is continually threatening the other, why don't they flee each other's presence during the very early stages? Humans may have a reflex that converts feeling threatened into a wish to injure the threatening party, possibly a behavioural leftover from some earlier adaptation, such as an anti-predation defence. To injure, you have to stick around. 

5) Finally, settled refugees usually do not integrate completely into the host society, instead forming ethnic neighbourhoods. Being seen as ethnic by the host society, due to slow integration, could improve the reproductive success of refugees because of disassortative mate-choice effects evolved to favor genes that produce dispersal.

6) The dispersal-producing dynamic just outlined is powerful, because it must overcome all the reasons a person would not leave their homeland forever at some arbitrary time: expense, risk of mortality in transit, opportunity costs, temporary loss of livelihood, need to learn a new language and customs, vulnerability to exploitation in the new country, etc.

#17. Hell's Kitchen [evolutionary psychology]

EP

Red, theory; black, fact

Ever since the assassination of JFK in '63, people of my generation have been wondering why the Americans kill off their best and brightest. It's not just the Americans, of course. The same thing happened to Gandhi and Our Savior no less.

I think a homey kitchen metaphor nails it. Once you have emptied the milk carton of all its milk, you can use it to dispose of the grease. That is, by the logic of "The Insurance of the Heart," once tremendous acclaim has been conferred on someone's name, the physical person no longer matters for the purposes of enhancing the name their descendants will inherit, and so can safely be used to draw the fire of the genetic undesirables; the resulting tremendous indignation will confer bad odor on the name of said undesirable for quite long enough to eradicate their meh genes in all copies.

Thus, Booth's genes were eradicated to make way for Lincoln's, and Oswald's genes were eradicated to make way for Kennedy's, without overall change in population density.

If the intermind could be said to have thoughts, this is what they would be like. Clearly, it's not God.

#16. The Intermind, Engine of History? [evolutionary psychology]

EP

Red, theory; black, fact

Statue of Samuel de Champlain, explorer

A Mechanism of Rapid Evolution 

A plausible reason for having a mechanism of rapid evolution is that it permits evolutionary enlargement of body size without loss of evolvability; larger size leads to more internal degrees of freedom and therefore access to previously impossible adaptations. For example, eukaryotes can phagocytose their food; prokaryotes cannot. However, larger body size comes at the expense of longer generation time, which reduces evolvability. A band of high frequencies in the spectrum of environmental fluctuations therefore develops where the large organism has relinquished evolvability, opening it to being out competed by its smaller rivals. 

What I call the intermind would be a proxy for classical evolution that fills the gap, but it needs an objective function to provide it with its ultimate gold standard of goodness of adaptations. Species-replacement group selection could ensure that the objective function is close to optimal. This group selection process takes place at enormously lower frequencies than those the intermind is tracking, because if the timescales were  too similar, chaos would result. For example, in model predictive control, the model is updated on a much longer cycle than are the predictions derived from it.

This genetic intelligence may construct our sociobiology in an ad hoc fashion, by rearranging a knowledge base, or construction kit, of rules of conduct into algorithm-like assemblages. This rearrangement would be blindingly fast by the standards of classical Darwinian evolution, which only provides the construction kit itself, and presumably some further, special rules equivalent to a definition of an objective function to be optimized. The ordinary rules translate experiences into the priming of certain emotions, not the emotions themselves, 

Its Properties 

The set of ordinary rules or intermind would be intermediate in speed between classical evolution and learning by operant conditioning. (All three depend on trial-and error.) The name is also appropriate in that the intermind would be a distributed intelligence, acting over continental, or a least national, areas. Its objective function, which is simply whatever produces survival, will be explicitly encoded into the genes specifying the intermind. (For more on multi-tier, biological control systems with division of labor according to time scale, see "Sociobiology: the New Synthesis," E. O. Wilson, 1975 & 2000, chapter 7.)

Evil Explained

The intermind may account for evil because it is only concerned with survival of the entire species and not with the welfare of individuals.

Evolutionary Mechanisms 

The intermind will have been created by group selection of species. Higher taxonomic units such as genus or family will scarcely evolve because the units that must die out to permit this are unlikely to do so, because they comprise relatively great genetic and geographical diversity. However, we can expect intermind-related adaptations that facilitate the creation of new species, the units of selection. Imprinted genes may be one such adaptation, which might enforce species barriers by a lock-and-key mechanism that kills the embryo if any imprinted gene is present in either two or zero active copies. Species-replacement group selection need act only on the objective function used by trial-and-error processes.

What Are Its Objectives?

In these times, we have come to know that species survival is imperiled by loss of range and by loss of genetic diversity. Thus, the objective function will tend to produce range expansion (exploration in humans) and optimization of genetic diversity. 

However, all this is insufficient to explain the creativity of humans, starting at the end of the last ice age with cave paintings, followed shortly thereafter by the momentous invention of agriculture. The hardships of the ice age must have selected genes for a third, novel component, or pillar, of the species objective function, namely optimization of memetic diversity. Controlled diversification of the species memeplex may have been the starting point for cultural creativity and the invention of all kinds of aids to survival. Art forms may represent the sensor of a feedback servomechanism by which a society measures its own memeplex diversity, measurement being necessary to control.

#15. The Insurance of the Heart [evolutionary psychology]

EP

Red, theory; black, fact

Insurance-like Adaptations

We live in an uncertain world, the best reason to buy insurance while you can. Insurance is too good a trick for evolution to have missed. When food is plentiful, as it now is in my country, people get obese, as they are now doing here, so that they can live on their fat during possible future hard times. They don't do this consciously; it's in their genes.

However, eating foregone during hard times has only a subtractive effect on your footprint on society's demand for scarce resources; how many kids you have affects your footprint multiplicatively. Thus, the effectiveness of biological insurance taken out in children foregone during times of plenty would be greater than that taken out in food consumed in advance.

The Role of Reputation 

Building on the multiplicative mechanism, the existence of which I am simply assuming, a still more powerful insurance mechanism exists; how well and long remembered the family name is that you bequeath to your children affects your footprint exponentially. I assume that a good or bad "name" affects the reproductive success of all your descendants having that name until you are finally forgotten. Compared to exponential returns, everything else is chump change. ("Who steals my purse steals trash." - Shakespeare)

Advance Evolution 

There remains the problem of food going to waste during times of plenty because the social forces associated with the multiplicative mechanism prevent a quick population increase. I conjecture that the extra energy available is invested by society in contests of various sorts, for example, the Circus Maximus during the heyday of ancient Rome, that act as a proxy to evolutionary selection pressure, whereby the society accelerates it's own evolution. Although natural selection pressure is maximal during the hard times, relying on these to do all your evolving for you can make you extinct; better to do some "preventative evolution" ahead of time.

Since future environmental demands are partly unforeseeable, a good strategy would be to accelerate one's evolution in multiple directions, keeping many irons in the fire. Indeed, in the Olympics just concluded, thirty-nine sports were represented.

Evolutionary Psychology 

The power of these contests is maximized by using the outcomes as primary conditioned stimuli that are associated with the family names of the winners and losers: the secondary conditioned stimuli. In this way, one acquires a good or bad "name" that will affect the reproductive success of all who inherit it, an exponential effect. To ground this discussion biologically, it must be assumed that the contests are effective in isolating carriers of good or bad genes (technically, alleles), and that the resulting "name" is an effective proxy for natural selection in altering the frequency of said genes. To keep the population density stable during all this, winners must be balanced by losers. The winners are determined and branded in places like the tennis courts, and the losers are determined and branded in the legal courts.

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